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Throughout the past year we’ve watched the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 break their all-time records several times. Not to mention the NASDAQ has shown pretty impressive growth as well.However, there’s a bit of a dark cloud looming over the United States stock market. The simple fact is that stock values are growing far faster than their underlying assets.
When we look at the most recent corporate earnings reports, it’s easy to see that stock prices are growing at a much faster rate than asset earnings. As a matter of fact, so many investors follow valuations in comparison to earnings that there’s a metric called the Schiller PE Ratio that was designed to track these numbers.
In cases where the stock market is growing at a sustainable rate, the Schiller PE Ratio is around 16. However, in today’s stock market we’re seeing something completely different. Today, the Schiller PE Ratio is over 25; meaning that investors are grossly overpaying for stocks.
However, the market does have a way of working over valuations out. As a matter of fact, it’s happened time and time again throughout history. It’s called a market correction; where market values fall by at least 10%.
There is a bit of a silver lining in all of this. When a market correction does happen, you don’t have to take losses. Historically, as stock prices fall, the value of gold goes up. So, by taking advantage of the ability to buy gold now at low rates, you can protect yourself from losing money during the looming market correction.
Thank you for tuning in today, I’m Kevin Douglas and with the Goldco News Brief.
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